Just three games are left in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. Fluminense and Paris St. Germain vs. Real Madrid in the semifinals on Tuesday and Wednesday, and the Club World Cup Final this Sunday, Juy 13, at 7 p.m. ET.
PSG are unsurprisingly favored to win their fourth major trophy of the 2024-25 campaign after winning the Champions League, Ligue 1 and Coupe de France earlier this year.
But Real Madrid and Chelsea are also getting plenty of respect from oddsmakers. Brazilian side Fluminense, on the other hand, is a heavy underdog at longer than 10-to-1 odds.
Club World Cup Semifinal Odds, Schedule
Below is the schedule for the Club World Cup semifinals, plus the three-way moneyline odds (via DraftKings as of July 7) for both Fluminense vs. Chelsea and PSG vs. Real Madrid.
- Fluminense vs. Chelsea, Tuesday, 3 p.m. ET (FLU +425 // Draw +275 // CHE -145)
- PSG vs. Real Madrid, Wednesday, 3 p.m. ET (PSG +135 // Draw +265 // RM +190)
Club World Cup Winner Odds: PSG, RM Favored
|
DK |
FD |
bet365 |
| PSG |
+140 |
+135 |
+137 |
| Real Madrid |
+175 |
+175 |
+187 |
| Chelsea |
+275 |
+280 |
+275 |
| Fluminense |
+1400 |
+1300 |
+1200 |
Anyone who has been watching the Club World Cup should not be surprised by how oddsmakers see the remaining field.
PSG is a young team that is light on Lionel Messi-level stars, but Manager Luis Enrique’s squad is loaded, and it has been dominant for months now. After beating Bayern Munich despite losing two players to red cards for the final minutes of that match, the Ligue 1 club offers a ton of value at plus-money.
Obviously, Real Madrid and Chelsea are elite clubs with few real weaknesses of their own. Both could conceivably take PSG to extra time and/or PKs, where anything could happen.
Club World Cup Prediction, Best Bets
At this point, I’m not going to believe that anyone* is beating this PSG squad until I see it.
Remember, PSG not only took down Liverpool, Aston Villa, Arsenal and Inter Milan in Champions League knockout play this spring, but they did so in dominant fashion. In their wins against Arsenal in the UCL semis and Inter Milan in the final, this young, balanced roster looked capable of piling up several trophies in the years to come.
One major concern for PSG right now is how it will fare vs. Real Madrid without two defenders. Both backup left back Lucas Hernandez and starting center back Willian Pacho will miss the CWC semifinal after being issued red cards in the quarterfinal win over Bayern Munich.
Regular starter Nuno Mendes will be available at left back vs. RM, but 21-year-old CB Lucas Beraldo will be under a ton of pressure. He is expected to fill in for Pacho because top backup Presnel Kimpembe’s status is uncertain due to a long-term injury.
Real Madrid will be dealing with a suspension of its own: recently signed center back Dean Huijsen saw red in the closing minutes of Los Blancos’ win over Borussia Dortmund for denying a clear goal-scoring opportunity in the 96th minute.
We’ll have more on the matchup between superstar Kylian Mbappe’s former team (PSG) and his current one (Real Madrid) later this week. For right now, though, we’re going with PSG to notch yet another impressive win over a top opponent.
While beating Real Madrid in the semis and (presumably) Chelsea in the final to raise the Club World Cup trophy will be a challenge, the most obvious pick at this point feels like the right one: PSG To Win Club World Cup (+140 at DK) — 1 unit.
Anyone looking for more upside should consider Chelsea. The Blues get a favorable semifinal matchup vs. Fluminense (which is currently in sixth place after a 6-2-3 start to the 2025 Brazilian Serie A campaign). If they advance as expected to the final, they’ll have a solid chance against either PSG or Real Madrid.
While I’m sticking with the chalk, I don’t blame anyone who’s tempted to wager a quarter-unit or so on Chelsea at nearly 3-to-1 odds right now.
*Actually, it should be noted here that Botafogo stunned the Parisians in group play of this tournament.
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