Donald Trump’s Popularity Is Soaring

Donald Trump currently enjoys his highest net approval rating since December 2021, according to surveys conducted by polling company Civiqs.

Data from the pollster showed on Monday that 41 percent of American registered voters had a favorable view of the former president and 2024 presumptive GOP White House contender, against 55 percent who had an unfavorable view, giving a net favorability of -14. This is his best performance since December 29, 2021 and a substantial improvement on his net rating of -22 in October 2023.

Trump is currently polling an average of 1.8 percentage points ahead of Biden according to an analysis of eight recent polls by election forecasters 270 to Win, which put him on 45.8 percent of the vote versus 44 percent for Biden. The former president is currently on trial in New York over claims he falsified business records to conceal the payment of hush money to a former pornographic actress ahead of the 2016 presidential election, with the prosecution delivering its closing arguments on Tuesday. Trump has pleaded not guilty to all charges and strongly denies any wrongdoing.

Donald Trump’s Popularity Is Soaring
Donald Trump’s net approval rating is the best it has been since December 2021, according to a leading pollster.

Photo-illustration by Newsweek/Getty

On its website, Civiqs has data showing how registered U.S. voters replied to the question—”Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?”—going back all the way to September 2015. During this time, 372,689 respondents answered the question drawn from those who signed up to take part in Civiqs’ surveys, which the company says it monitors to provide a “representative sample” of the American population for each poll.

According to the surveys, Trump’s net approval rose to -14 on April 20 and has remained there ever since, an improvement of eight points on the net approval of -22 he had on October 30, 2023. Trump recorded his worst post-White House approval with Civiqs on December 24, 2022, when his net approval was at -25. On January 19, 2021, one day before Biden’s inauguration and after hundreds of the former president’s supporters stormed Congress, Trump’s net approval was -12 according to Civiqs.

Newsweek contacted representatives of Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential election campaign for comment by email outside of usual office hours.

Former president Donald Trump
Donald Trump at Manhattan Criminal Court on May 28, 2024, in New York City. Trump’s net approval is the highest it has been since December 2021, according to one leading pollster.

Andrew Kelly-Pool/GETTY

Speaking to Newsweek, Mark Shanahan, an American politics expert who teaches at the University of Surrey in the U.K., said Biden was struggling to get his economic message to resonate with the public.

He said: “Biden still is not getting the message on economic recovery through anything like as strongly as he should—and being able to see the states where he’s performing poorest should help him hone specific messages for those swing states in the West, upper Midwest and South East that will be the key battlegrounds in November.

“It will be worrying for his campaign that although Biden has been visible in the swing states, his rival, who has largely been stuck in a New York court room, is still seen to have more effective economic policies. Clearly just attacking his opponent isn’t going to work for Biden—he needs to be able to point to clear, evidenced, policy successes to show how his administration is making a positive difference in states such as Georgia and Pennsylvania.”

When approached by Newsweek, a spokesperson for Civiqs said: “President Biden’s job approval rating is lower in the presidential battleground states than it is nationwide. If Biden is able to raise his national approval rating between now and November, then we expect his approval ratings in these states to increase as well.”

Polling by Civiqs of 486,369 respondents online between January 20, 2021, and May 27, 2024, revealed President Joe Biden’s popularity in a number of the key states that could decide the 2024 presidential election was lower than in the country as a whole.

Over this period, Civiqs gave Biden an average net approval of -22, with positive net ratings only recorded in the states of Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts and Vermont.

However, in Pennsylvania his net approval was -25, while it was -28 in Nevada, -32 in Arizona, -27 in Georgia and -34 in Michigan, all of which he won in November 2020.

Recently, a New York Democratic politician warned Trump has picked up an “alarming” level of support in the city.

The comment came from Manhattan Borough President Mark Levine, who said: “The number of people in New York, including people of color that I come across who are saying positive things about Trump, is alarming.”

A strong showing in New York was one of the high points of the generally disappointing November 2022 midterm elections for the Republicans.