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Hurricane Season Update: Tropical Cyclone Could Form Today


Forecasters are monitoring a system in the Atlantic that has the potential to strengthen into a “short-lived” tropical depression on Monday.

According to the National Weather Service (NWS), a tropical depression is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained surface winds of 38 miles per hour or lower.

Why It Matters

If this system develops, it would become the first named storm in the Atlantic for 2025. The Eastern Pacific has seen an active start to the hurricane season, with multiple named storms already having formed.

What To Know

The NWS National Hurricane Center (NHC) said on Monday morning that satellite imagery showed disorganized showers and thunderstorms positioned east of an area of low pressure, roughly 600 miles east of Bermuda.

Atlantic disturbance
This National Hurricane Center graphic highlights the area in question.

NHC

While conditions were only “marginally favorable” for further development, an uptick in storm activity could lead to the formation of a short-lived tropical depression on Monday, it said.

By Tuesday, the system is anticipated to move into less favorable conditions, ending its chances for further development.

“The system is forecast to move northeastward around 10 mph, remaining over the open central Atlantic,” said the agency.

AccuWeather meteorologist Adam Douty told Newsweek that the system is too small to affect Bermuda, and its main risks were for central Atlantic shipping and cruise routes.

“Strong upper-level winds (wind shear) are disrupting the system, likely preventing any substantial or lasting development even if it gets named,” he said.

Should it evolve further and develop into a tropical storm, the system would take the name Andrea.

“If it does officially become a tropical depression or tropical storm (per the National Hurricane Center), if would be short-lived as it gets swept up into the North Atlantic,” Douty said.

“It would dissipate by the middle of the week.”

What People Are Saying

AccuWeather meteorologist Adam Douty told Newsweek: “Historically, the first tropical storm in the Atlantic forms (on average) is June 20th, so it would basically be right on time.

“The last few years, however, we have seen development earlier in the season compared to this year, so this does make this feel like this season is a late start.”

The National Hurricane Center said on X on Sunday: “An area of low pressure (#AL90) located about 450 miles E of Bermuda is showing some signs of organization. This system now has a medium chance (40%) to become a TC over the next day or so, but still poses no threat to land.”

What Happens Next

The Atlantic hurricane season spans from June through November.



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