Lions vs. Packers Odds, Best Bets: Best ATS Picks for NFC North Showdown

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Lions vs. Packers Betting Preview

Detroit Lions Betting News, Analysis

No team in the NFL is playing better than Detroit right now. This offense had high expectations entering this season, and it has somehow exceed them in recent weeks, with Jared Goff playing at an MVP level over the past month.

Below are Goff’s numbers in his last four games, during which Detroit has averaged 43 points per game:

• 70-for-83 passing (completion percentage: 84.3), 11.7 yards per attempt
• 972 yards, 10 TDs, 0 interceptions, 13 sacks

It’s not just Detroit’s passing game that is humming, though. The Lions have run for 139 yards or more in six of seven games this year, and the one time they didn’t, they still scored 42 on Seattle in Week 4.

If there’s a weakness for Detroit, it’s on the D-line following a season-ending leg injury to star DE Aidan Hutchinson in a 47-9 win over Dallas in Week 6. The Lions struggled to get stops in a tight win at Minnesota two weeks ago, but played much better last week, albeit against a bad Tennessee offense.

Still, while the recent losses of not only Hutchinson, but also speedy WR Jameson Williams (suspension) hurt, Detroit is getting contributions from all over its roster, including a special teams day for the books in last week’s romp over the Titans.

Kalif Raymond returned a punt for a touchdown in that win, and the Lions also got a 70-yard kickoff return by Khalil Dorsey. That would explain how Detroit managed to score 52 points on a day when its quarterback threw for just 85 yards on 15 passing attempts.

Green Bay Packers Betting News, Analysis

Everything for the Packers starts with QB Jordan Love, who has battled injuries this season but played well when available. Love left last Sunday’s win over the Jaguars with a groin injury, and backup Malik Willis once again made enough plays for Green Bay to come out on top.

The Packers expect to have Love in the starting lineup in this game, but his mobility could be limited by his groin injury.

Green Bay’s only two losses this year came in high-scoring affairs against Philadelphia in Week 1 and Minnesota in Week 4. The Packers will likely need another big day by their offense to knock off Detroit this afternoon.

The Green Bay defense is playing much better this season than it did a year ago under aggressive first-year defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley. This unit has not seen an opposing offense quite like Detroit’s, though.

If there’s one area that does favor the Green Bay defense in this game, it’s the pass rush. Goff is a pocker passer who has struggled throughout his career against pressure, and he’s been sacked eight times the last two weeks.

That’s great news for pass rushers Preston Smith, Rashan Gary and the rest of the Green Bay front seven, because when Goff has time to throw, someone is open on seemingly every play thanks to the creative scheme that offensive coordinator Ben Johnson has in place.

Lions vs. Packers Prediction

Sometimes, the simple, chalky take is the right one. This feels like a great example of that. Detroit is just doing too many things at a high level to bet against them right now, even in a tough road game against a quality opponent.

The Lions are the highest-scoring team in the league, and they might be even harder to stop than their NFL-best 33.4 points per game average would indicate. Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery form the best 1-2 punch at RB in the NFL, and the Lions have two dangerous pass catchers in WR Amon-Ra St. Brown and TE Sam LaPorta. This team just has too many weapons for even a solid defense like Green Bay’s to consistently stop.

Give us Detroit to laugh last in a memorable back-and-forth battle.

Lions vs. Packers Best Bets

Both these offenses are playing so well right now that the Over feels like a slam-dunk. We also like the Lions to cover as 2.5-point favorites.

• Over 47.5 (-110 at FanDuel) 1 unit
• Lions -2.5 (-112 at FanDuel) 1 unit

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