What Will Joe Rogan and Donald Trump Talk About? What the Odds Say

Podcaster Joe Rogan has maintained a firm stance against having former President Donald Trump on his show.

However, with mounting expectations that it could happen within the next 21 days, oddsmakers are taking notice. The BetOnline sportsbook has introduced a series of Rogan-Trump prop bets in anticipation of a potential groundbreaking podcast episode.

For starters, the betting odds for whether Trump will be a guest on The Joe Rogan Experience before Election Day heavily favor his appearance, with odds set at -600 for “Yes” and +350 for “No.” This implies an 86 percent probability that Trump will appear on the show.

The Republican presidential nominee appeared on the Nelk Boys YouTube channel and when asked by one of the hosts if he would go on Rogan’s show, Trump responded “Oh, sure I would” before adding: “I mean, I think I’m doing it actually.”

Host Kyle Forgeard then asked him: “So you are going to do Joe Rogan?” and Trump responded: “Yeah I am.”

In contrast, the odds for Vice President Kamala Harris appearing on the same show are -165 for “Yes” and +125 for “No,” suggesting a 62 percent probability.

Rogan’s audience skews young and male, according to market research company YouGov, giving Harris an opportunity to appeal to this demographic of voters if she sits down with Rogan for an interview.

According to Reuters, Harris campaign officials met with Rogan’s team this week, but an appearance by the Democratic presidential nominee on The Joe Rogan Experience has not been confirmed.

The BetOnline prop bets include what will happen first on the show.

One bet features Rogan asking Trump how much he weighs at +300 odds, versus Rogan asking Trump how tall he is at -500. Additionally, bets can be placed on whether Trump will drink alcohol or smoke marijuana first, with the former at +150 and the latter at -200. Long-term odds of Trump drinking alcohol are set at 200/1, while smoking marijuana is set at 150/1.

As for topics of conversation, bettors speculate which will be mentioned first: UFC at +155 or Elon/Musk at -220. Similar bets are made for the first mention of mushrooms (+325), psychedelics (+245) and marijuana (-150). When it comes to technical subjects, space exploration (+350) competes with UFOs/UAPs (+225) and artificial intelligence/AI (-150).

Regarding policy, gun(s) at +170 and border(s) at -250 are the keywords under consideration, according to the sportsbook.

Over/under bets are available for the number of times border(s) will be mentioned, set at 6.5, gun(s) at 7.5 and economy at 4.5 mentions. Bets on whether Rogan or Trump will be fact-checked by the producer place Rogan’s odds at +170 for yes and -250 for no, while Trump’s are -200 for yes and +150 for no.

Lastly, wagering on the podcast’s duration provides an over/under set at 3 hours.

Numbers released by Spotify earlier this year show that The Joe Rogan Experience is the most popular podcast on the platform by far in terms of follower count with 14.5 million subscribers. The next most popular, TED Talks Daily, has 5 million.

What are Rogan’s political views?

Overall, Rogan’s political beliefs are characterized by a blend of libertarian values, support for specific progressive policies, and a strong emphasis on free speech and skepticism of the political establishment.

Rogan, also a stand-up comedian and Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) color commentator, has made various political endorsements that reflect his mixed beliefs. For instance, in the 2020 Democratic primaries, he expressed support for Bernie Sanders because of the Vermont senator’s stance on health care and economic inequality. At other times, he has expressed understanding for certain views held by figures on the right, like the need for strong national security.

Despite his libertarian tendencies, Rogan supports progressive stances on several issues. He has advocated for universal health care, drug decriminalization and the legalization of marijuana. Rogan also supports same-sex marriage and has spoken out on criminal justice reform.

During the 2024 presidential race, Rogan has been complimentary about Harris while criticizing Trump. In September, he praised Harris and her presidential campaign team after her debate with Trump on September 10.

“Whoever is helping her, whoever’s coaching her, whoever’s the puppet master running the strings…amazing job! They did an amazing job—from the moment Biden drops out,” Rogan told guest Tom Segura.

Rogan also said Harris was better prepared than Trump and that when it came to answering questions, she answered by “saying things she believed, and they sounded real good.”

Does Rogan support Trump?

Rogan has had a nuanced and frequently critical view of Trump, which he has expressed on The Joe Rogan Experience. He has criticized Trump’s rhetoric and behavior, especially highlighting the divisive and controversial nature of Trump’s statements.

He has commented on Trump’s tendency to engage in inflammatory and provocative speech, which he believes has contributed to increased polarization and tension in American society. Moreover, Rogan has been vocal about his concerns over Trump’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, criticizing the former president’s downplaying of the virus and the spread of misinformation.

In July 2022, during an episode of the podcast, Rogan specifically mentioned that he had turned down multiple opportunities to have Trump on as a guest. Rogan expressed his concerns about providing a platform to Trump, given his controversial tenure and the divisive nature of his rhetoric. Rogan emphasized that he did not want to contribute to amplifying a figure he views as problematic for the country’s discourse and political climate.

Despite his criticism, Rogan has also offered occasional praise or understanding of Trump’s appeal and actions. He acknowledged Trump’s ability to connect with those who feel disenfranchised or ignored by the political establishment. Rogan has noted that Trump’s unorthodox approach and willingness to challenge norms resonate with many voters. Additionally, Rogan has occasionally appreciated specific policies or actions taken by Trump, such as his stance on free speech and deregulation.

Newsweek asked ChatGPT this week who Rogan might be most likely to vote for. ChatGPT is leaning toward Trump but not ruling out Harris.

Newsweek emailed the Trump and Harris campaigns, along with Rogan’s publicist, for comment on Tuesday.